DaDa Group (DADA.US) – Note 5 (Rev. Recognition Change)

[March 19th, 2021] In note 4, I was concerned about the noises that accounting change will introduce. There’s no impact on profit dollar but still it will introduce noises. I expect to feel the impact first from the guidance of 2Q21 when the company reports 1Q21 results. Not sure if we will see a before-after … Continue reading DaDa Group (DADA.US) – Note 5 (Rev. Recognition Change)

DaDa Group (DADA.US) – Note 4 (4Q20 Charts)

[March 12th, 2021] One of my concern in 4Q20 is the decreased contribution margin (%) due to rising operations and support costs probably driven by competition. I believe the change of accounting treatment on last-mile delivery service provided to JD Logistics will have "some" impact on topline (-) and contribution margin (+). There's no impact … Continue reading DaDa Group (DADA.US) – Note 4 (4Q20 Charts)

DaDa Group (DADA.US) – Note 3 (4Q20ER)

[March 10th, 2021] DaDa reported 4Q20 results and held earnings call yesterday. Review of my projection DaDa Now There's link error in my growth driver cell of TTM Orders Delivered (M)Monetization for Ordered Delivered was better than expectation. Trajectory can be revised upward. JDDJ The traction of TTM Active Consumers looks fine. I was too … Continue reading DaDa Group (DADA.US) – Note 3 (4Q20ER)

Coupang (CPNG.US) – Note 1

[March 6, 2021] Some thoughts after skimming through S1 and The Generalist's briefing (Coupang: The Art of Obsession) * * * Coupang is a consumer internet company expanding verticals and gaining consumer's wallet share in South Korea. Coupang currently has 1P & 3P e-commerce business (with in-house logistics capacity), grocery offering, food delivery and digital … Continue reading Coupang (CPNG.US) – Note 1

DaDa Group (DADA.US) – Note 2

[March 3rd, 2021] Model I put together a rough model to identify key lever. Most of assumptions are "reasonable" to me (my best guesses based on pattern without particular insights) so they might go wrong for many reasons (potential downside due to competition, execution...). The only parameter that might have substantial upside in the model … Continue reading DaDa Group (DADA.US) – Note 2

DaDa Group (DADA.US) – Note 1

[March 1st, 2021] Dada Group is a local on-demand delivery and retail platform within JD.com's ecosystem. Retail platform The retail platform, JDDJ, adopts 3P-only marketplace model and focuses on categories (in terms of merchants and SKU) where the value of on-demand sub-vertical of e-commerce is higher than costs for demand side and supply side in … Continue reading DaDa Group (DADA.US) – Note 1

Yatsen – Quick Cal.

Comments on data in F-1: Yatsen has been growing very fast and the revenue contribution is getting more balanced or diversified in terms of channel, brand and product as the company launches and acquires more brands. It seems the company is quite aggressive on acquisition so the future growth will be relatively difficult to project. … Continue reading Yatsen – Quick Cal.

Natural Food – Initial Thoughts

Natural Food (1837.HK) [August 30, 2019] Interim Results Announcement @ Conrad Background I was simply attracted by the brand name and guided by my preliminary China theme - consumption upgrade. Before attending the meeting, I thought Natural Food was doing something like what General Mill does... Initial Thoughts I didn't find anything that got me … Continue reading Natural Food – Initial Thoughts

Cosmo Lady – Initial Thoughts

Cosmo Lady (2298.HK) [August 29, 2019] Interim Results Announcement @ Mandarin Oriental Background I was attracted by the ugly stock price chart and had a feeling that the company might be struggling like other traditional retail players. Initial Thoughts As expected, the company is struggling and delivered terrible financial results in the first half of … Continue reading Cosmo Lady – Initial Thoughts