DaDa Group (DADA.US) – Note 5 (Rev. Recognition Change)

[March 19th, 2021] In note 4, I was concerned about the noises that accounting change will introduce. There’s no impact on profit dollar but still it will introduce noises. I expect to feel the impact first from the guidance of 2Q21 when the company reports 1Q21 results. Not sure if we will see a before-after … Continue reading DaDa Group (DADA.US) – Note 5 (Rev. Recognition Change)

DaDa Group (DADA.US) – Note 4 (4Q20 Charts)

[March 12th, 2021] One of my concern in 4Q20 is the decreased contribution margin (%) due to rising operations and support costs probably driven by competition. I believe the change of accounting treatment on last-mile delivery service provided to JD Logistics will have "some" impact on topline (-) and contribution margin (+). There's no impact … Continue reading DaDa Group (DADA.US) – Note 4 (4Q20 Charts)

DaDa Group (DADA.US) – Note 3 (4Q20ER)

[March 10th, 2021] DaDa reported 4Q20 results and held earnings call yesterday. Review of my projection DaDa Now There's link error in my growth driver cell of TTM Orders Delivered (M)Monetization for Ordered Delivered was better than expectation. Trajectory can be revised upward. JDDJ The traction of TTM Active Consumers looks fine. I was too … Continue reading DaDa Group (DADA.US) – Note 3 (4Q20ER)

17 Edu & Tech (YQ.US) – Note (4Q20ER)

[March 9th, 2021] YQ reported 4Q20 results. Line items & margins Topline was inline with my guessGross margin showed some economics of scale compared to last quarter but it only had marginal improvement from last year. The reason is that services provided by instructors and tutors are not scalable as codes or digital content.S&M exp. … Continue reading 17 Edu & Tech (YQ.US) – Note (4Q20ER)

17 Edu & Tech (YQ.US) – Note (pre-4Q20ER guess)

[March 8th, 2021] This is an exercise on guessing (no research on underlying) the 4Q20 result of 17 Education & Technology Group (YQ.US). The information is based on F-1 where the company disclosed their unaudited financial data of October 2019 and October 2020 (page 7). I think it's because the online education market in China … Continue reading 17 Edu & Tech (YQ.US) – Note (pre-4Q20ER guess)

Coupang (CPNG.US) – Note 1

[March 6, 2021] Some thoughts after skimming through S1 and The Generalist's briefing (Coupang: The Art of Obsession) * * * Coupang is a consumer internet company expanding verticals and gaining consumer's wallet share in South Korea. Coupang currently has 1P & 3P e-commerce business (with in-house logistics capacity), grocery offering, food delivery and digital … Continue reading Coupang (CPNG.US) – Note 1

Roblox – Updated Charts

I update the slide with 4Q20 data in latest S1. Direct listing of Roblox will be interesting because market appetite has shifted in last two weeks and the underlying business of Roblox seems to be normalizing this year based on company's expectation (conservative?). Roblox has strong cash flow and just raised a private round so … Continue reading Roblox – Updated Charts

DaDa Group (DADA.US) – Note 2

[March 3rd, 2021] Model I put together a rough model to identify key lever. Most of assumptions are "reasonable" to me (my best guesses based on pattern without particular insights) so they might go wrong for many reasons (potential downside due to competition, execution...). The only parameter that might have substantial upside in the model … Continue reading DaDa Group (DADA.US) – Note 2

DaDa Group (DADA.US) – Note 1

[March 1st, 2021] Dada Group is a local on-demand delivery and retail platform within JD.com's ecosystem. Retail platform The retail platform, JDDJ, adopts 3P-only marketplace model and focuses on categories (in terms of merchants and SKU) where the value of on-demand sub-vertical of e-commerce is higher than costs for demand side and supply side in … Continue reading DaDa Group (DADA.US) – Note 1

Roblox – IPO Note 4 (Investor Day)

[February 27th, 2021] Roblox has updated their S-1 and decided to go direct listing on March 10th. Roblox hosted investor day on Youtube. I highly recommend watching that video (presentation and Q&A) which is embedded below. Roblox is interesting: "metaverse holder" pure play - vertical & category agnostic consumer internet tech "large" TAM, meme candidate, … Continue reading Roblox – IPO Note 4 (Investor Day)

Roblox – IPO Note 3 (It’s Direct Listing!)

[January 10th, 2021] Roblox announced few days ago that it raised $520 million in new Series H funding at $29.5 billion valuation and planned to pursue an IPO via direct listing in early February 2021. It's management team's job to maximize the valuation for existing stockholders. By withdrawing from IPO and then raising a private … Continue reading Roblox – IPO Note 3 (It’s Direct Listing!)

Roblox – IPO Note 2

[December 16th, 2020] Background Roblox Corp. delayed its planned IPO after company officials decided that the gravity-defying performance this week of Airbnb Inc. and DoorDash Inc. made it too difficult to determine the right price for the videogame company’s shares.Dec. 11, 2020 WSJ Affirm Holdings Inc. is postponing its initial public offering, according to people familiar with the matter, the second … Continue reading Roblox – IPO Note 2

Roblox – IPO Note 1

I just skimmed Roblox S-1. As there will be many S-1 teardown and takes on the internet, I only write down high-level thoughts that I still remember without checking the document again. I might put together a simple model and charts later. * * * [November 22nd, 2020] What is Roblox? Roblox is a User-Generated … Continue reading Roblox – IPO Note 1

Sea’s Garena Snapshot

Some Sea's Digital Entertainment charts for housekeeping purpose. User Base Monetization Margin Profile Talking Points in DE Fully self-developed game, Free Fire, launched on iOS App Store & Google Play Store on December 4, 2017. Free Fire is a battle royale type of mobile game developed in-house by Garena. Daily active user (DAU) from over … Continue reading Sea’s Garena Snapshot